US and Canada stars of downturn, but watch out for that Canadian debt

Posted: June 23, 2013 in Global Economy
Tags: , , , , , , ,

Sometimes data is too good to ignore, and the latest Economics Review from the ONS contains such data. It shows that the star of the recession of 2008 was Canada. In Q1 of this year, Canadian GDP was no less than 5.1 per cent up on the pre-recession high.

US GDP was 3.2 per cent up, German GDP 1.3 per cent up, but French GDP is still 0.8 per cent below the pre-recession peak. In Japan GDP is now 1.3 per cent below peak, and for poor old Blighty, GDP is still 2.6 per cent below peak. Within the G7, Italy has suffered the worst performance, with GDP currently 8.6 per cent below peak.

Japan saw the steepest rate of decline during the recession, however, and at one point GDP was 9.2 per cent below peak before its recovery began.

So far, all is good for Canada. Just bear this mind, however. Levels of household debt in Canada seem high; they have risen since 2007, and are now even higher than in the UK and much higher than in the US. Meanwhile, Canadian house prices to both income and rent, relative to their historic average, seem excessive.

There are parallels between Canada today, and the US and the UK in 2007.

© Investment & Business News 2013

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s